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If the drops in the last 2 years are not partially anticipatory effects of the Action Plan policies, then one could argue that the BAU we used is too high in future smoking prevalence, the corollary of which is that the health gains due to the endgame policies in this paper are overestimated (as some of the gains we attribute to the policies were already occurring under BAU)

All authors contributed to revising the article critically for important intellectual content

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Yet, despite having proven methods to help smokers quit, less than one-third of adult cigarette smokers who attempt to quit use proven counseling and/or medication